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Air quality impacts from the electrification of light-duty passenger vehicles in the United States

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2019.04.003

Schnell, Jordan L. ; Naik, Vaishali ; Horowitz, Larry W. ; Paulot, Fabien ; Ginoux, Paul ; Zhao, Ming ; Horton, Daniel E. ( July 2019 , Atmospheric Environment)

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Reappraisal of the Climate Impacts of Ozone‐Depleting Substances

https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL088295

Morgenstern, Olaf ; O'Connor, Fiona M. ; Johnson, Ben T. ; Zeng, Guang ; Mulcahy, Jane P. ; Williams, Jonny ; Teixeira, João ; Michou, Martine ; Nabat, Pierre ; Horowitz, Larry W. ; et al ( October 2020 , Geophysical Research Letters)

Abstract
We assess the effective radiative forcing due to ozone‐depleting substances using models participating in the Aerosols and Chemistry and Radiative Forcing Model Intercomparison Projects (AerChemMIP, RFMIP). A large intermodel spread in this globally averaged quantity necessitates an “emergent constraint” approach whereby we link the radiative forcing to ozone declines measured and simulated during 1979–2000, excluding two volcanically perturbed periods. During this period, ozone‐depleting substances were increasing, and several merged satellite‐based climatologies document the ensuing decline of total‐column ozone. Using these analyses, we find an effective radiative forcing of−0.05 to 0.13 W m⁻². Our best estimate (0.04 W m⁻²) is on the edge of the “likely” range given by the Fifth Assessment Report of IPCC of 0.03 to 0.33 W m⁻²but is in better agreement with two other literature results.

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